# Eugenio's bad first attempts at financial research

**URL:** <https://forum.beeminder.com/t/eugenios-bad-first-attempts-at-financial-research/6442>\
**Category:** Life\
**Created:** [March 13, 2020, 2:50pm UTC](https://forum.beeminder.com/t/eugenios-bad-first-attempts-at-financial-research/6442 "2020-03-13T14:50:20Z")\
**Posts on this page:** 2\
**Page:** 1

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**Author:** ![eugeniobruno](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/e/f475e1/32.png) [@eugeniobruno](https://forum.beeminder.com/u/eugeniobruno)\
**Post date:** [March 13, 2020, 2:50pm UTC](https://forum.beeminder.com/t/eugenios-bad-first-attempts-at-financial-research/6442/1 "2020-03-13T14:50:20Z")

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I’ll try to do some valuation and stock research in here to hold myself accountable to the analysis I do, and so I can learn in the future by what I thought in the past and how and why it was wrong.

The fact that the beeminder’s forum always shows you previous revisions for every post makes this even better; it’s pretty much going to be a consistent “account” of my research, even if I mess up in my organization of notes and stuff.

**None of this is investment advice. I lose money. You will lose money just by reading my posts.**

Fellow\* finance nerds, feel free to completely challenge me and roast me on my analysis! That’s an extremely quick way for me to grow.

\*I’d like to say fellow, but right now I’m at best an _aspiring finance nerd_.

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**Author:** ![eugeniobruno](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/e/f475e1/32.png) [@eugeniobruno](https://forum.beeminder.com/u/eugeniobruno)\
**Post date:** [March 13, 2020, 9:01pm UTC](https://forum.beeminder.com/t/eugenios-bad-first-attempts-at-financial-research/6442/2 "2020-03-13T21:01:10Z")

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It seems we are witnessing something pretty unique! VIX at literal ATHs since recorded data, markets not working anywhere, indices being seemingly +/- 10% every day…

For the velocity in the market crash, I thought I’d be able to just wave my hands and point to short gamma and leveraged ETFs or something, but this appears to be way more than I can understand!

Fortunately my long/short portfolio is doing fairly well even in this mess. (Actually, my performance since opening my “serious” long/short portfolio ~1 month ago is so good and statistically unlikely that I think I spent all my luck for my next 10 years of investing! I haven’t even backtested a single overfitted algorithm to this kind of sharpe and sortino yet)

 ![image](https://us1.discourse-cdn.com/flex019/uploads/beeminder/original/2X/a/a26d30cd9b6e1b080dae3063ef9fa76ec8a7e8ce.png)

 ![image](https://us1.discourse-cdn.com/flex019/uploads/beeminder/original/2X/e/e82f035856dc0444bc27598e62eddf022fd77218.jpeg)

And of course, always fun to read people’s calls about where the stonk market is going (especially when they’re really, really wrong):

 ![image](https://us1.discourse-cdn.com/flex019/uploads/beeminder/original/2X/8/81907f4491485dc5dbdea79f94599ecd1b52491a.jpeg)