Hi everybody, how would you have decided?
What happened is: my Anki goal, i.e. to keep up with flashcards, is ambitious to keep doing permanently. I’ve been doing the minimum, with no real enthusiasm. But additionally, due to the way I implemented the last vacation, the data that models “forgetting” is sent to Beeminder only when I open the desktop app. So I’m “technically allowed” to coast, but punished whenever I start tackling the mounting backlog, unless I complete it 100%. That arrangement is not ideal, but it has worked. In this case, a late-night meeting blocked my study time, and I forgot about Anki until it was too late.
Would I have been able to save the day with heroic effort? Likely yes.
Would I have been able to sustainably work at that pace? Hell no.
Was it unforseen circumstances? Yes. Some other people can juggle that much, but I will inevitably drop a ball, i.e. it exceeds my ability to foresee reliably.
Will Beeminder keep its sting if I plead not guilty? Yes.
Was the failure due to akrasia? Partly yes, in the sense of making time earlier, but also I’m having medical problems that eat into my usable time.
Am I willing to let go of the ambition? Hell no.
The monetary amount of motivation? Doesn’t matter - I’m motivated by losing the bet, not by money.
Now that you know the facts - how would you decide?