I’ve been mulling over what Beeminder is actually for, and I’ve come to a rather contentious conclusion. I think that I’ve been getting it wrong all these years, and so has everyone else, including the Beeminder founders themselves(!)
I posted an earlier version of this in the Discord, and got some pushback from those who find the standard framing useful for them. Nevertheless, I think that framing misses something deeply important. If the normal way of thinking about Beeminder works for you, great, but perhaps at least consider what I have to say here anyway as an alternate framing.
The intentionally provocative way to put it is that I don’t believe in Beeminder as a tool to achieve one’s goals.
In fact, I have come to disbelieve the two-level model of goals, where there are things you “want” and things you “want to want”.
I know it subjectively feels like you want to want some things but can’t bring yourself to it in the moment. I claim that this is an illusion.
You may be familiar with the press-secretary model of the brain:
You are not the king of your brain. You are the creepy guy standing next to the king going “a most judicious choice, sire”.
https://x.com/stevenkaas/status/165572417811525632
Your conscious mind isn’t in charge, isn’t the president of your brain. Rather, it’s the president’s press secretary, in charge of publishing explanations and justifications.
It feels to you like your conscious mind is in charge, that you actually believe in your explanations, but that’s just because actually believing something helps you convince others of that thing. You don’t need to lie if you believe it yourself. It takes more mental effort to keep two sets of books, so you just keep one.
I recommend The Elephant in the Brain by Kevin Simler and Robin Hanson for more on this topic.
The things you “want to want”, but don’t actually do, are the things your press secretary has announced you want, but which you don’t actually want. Just like how politicians are hypocrites and make campaign promises that they have no intention of carrying out, the same applies to your brain. Humans exist in a social context, and everything we do needs to be spun to shape the narrative to the people around us. We do this by default, without explicitly thinking about it: “thinking about it” is a tool that exists in the first place for doing that spinning.
The thing that would terrify me the most is if a press secretary staged a coup and forced the president to actually carry out his campaign promises. The one saving grace of democracy is that politicians are hypocrites! To win elections, politicians promise things that sound good but actually are terrible, and then don’t do them once in office. The way taboo tradeoffs work, the way to appeal to people is to promise that we’ll “pay any price” to overcome [insert bad thing here], and similar absurdities, and they’d drive the country to ruin if while in office they stuck to that instead of making reasonable tradeoffs.
(For more in this topic, see The Myth of the Rational Voter by Bryan Caplan.)
The same applies to your brain. I really really don’t want the press secretary to be in charge, especially if the press secretary actually believes the absurd campaign promises.
To the extent that Beeminder puts the press secretary of your brain in charge, allowing it to force you to stick to the good-sounding things you “want to want”, that is utterly terrible and destructive.
Thankfully, Beeminder (used correctly) isn’t that!
Back to politics a moment: how could it better? I don’t like it that politicians promise these absurd things, even if most nice-sounding campaign promises don’t get carried out. I wish politicians were held to task for their promises—not so that they will carry them out, but so that they moderate themselves, and tell the public the ugly truth. The best policies involve careful tradeoffs, not flowery ideological commitments, and I wish that politicians would be forced to admit that.
No politician can choose to be honest like this, because it would lose them votes. But if all politicians had to, then it would lose them all votes, and none would have a relative disadvantage. So maybe it would be better if all politicians were forced to commit to their campaign promises, for instance by having to stake their own money on it. Ideally this would hold them back from promising unreasonable things.
You have to be really careful with this! The bad outcome here is for politicians to commit to their existing flowery-but-terrible sounds-good idealogical promises. That would suck. Thus I’m skeptical of this as a mechanism in real-world elections, at least without a public that is aware of (and wants to overcome) their own biases, and specifically the human susceptibility to Social Desirability Bias.
But for me, myself? I’m aware of, and aspire to overcome, my own biases, and that’s why I use Beeminder. I bind my brain to stop it from ordering the press secretary to issue dumb press releases that make promises I’m not going to carry through on.
The press secretary knows that if he runs his mouth too much his boss will get angry at him for having to put up or pay up on the dumb promises that the press secretary made on his behalf. So he moderates himself, and only promises what he thinks the boss will be willing to follow through on.
That is what Beeminder is good for. Though I’ve just now denied the core doctrine of Beeminder, I really do love Beeminder. It’s just that everyone else is wrong about what Beeminder is for!
Put another way: I have come to think that the people who are wary of Beeminder because they see it as a form of bullying oneself are kind of right. If someone were to say to me something like “I’d like to learn the guitar, but I can never find the time”, what I’d think to myself is “no, you don’t actually want to learn the guitar, not enough to make the time for it.” I wouldn’t say that out loud, because confronting someone like that is rude. And at worst, it may make them go all “I’ll show you” and start practicing the guitar for a bad reason, merely the shame of being called out on their hypocrisy. That would be a waste of their time; letting them be a hypocrite is far better than bullying them into being true to their word. And just like I wouldn’t do that to others, I don’t want to be doing that to myself.
Yet Beeminder is still incredibly useful, even when you take great care not to bully yourself into doing things you don’t want to do. Making a goal, for something you truly want to do, is evidence that you do in fact want to do it (as you’ve put money on the line if you’re wrong about wanting to do it.) And if you turn out to be wrong, you’ll learn that when you keep derailing on it. You’re paying Beeminder in order to keep yourself honest about what you actually want, as opposed to what you merely feel like you want.