aad's Calendialing Topic (Until Returns Diminish)

Time for another update!

First a meta remark: I’m finding it difficult to figure out a good structure for these updates and parts of it feel a bit stale…

I’m looking at Beebudget at 7, 14 and 30 days now.

  • The 7-day snapshot remains not very insightful in isolation. The 14d and 30d views reveal… a potentially scary situation.
  • Total committed load looks like: 2.8 h/day at 7d → 3.9 h/day at 14d → 4.9 h/day at 30d.
  • That 30 day rate is very scary compared to 2.6 hours of non-work hours I’m dedicated to tracked activities.
  • I can account for one of the ~2 hours between 7 day and 30 day difference, but not the other.
  • Before I panic, I’ll be looking into improving time estimates of Beebudget by cross-referencing Beeminder deltas and Toggle data.

Besides those general points:

  • Venture is absent at 7d (full buffer), 1.5% at 14d, only 5.2% at 30d. Beeminder demands ~15 min/day long-run for my #2 priority.

Looking at Toggl data.

  • Venture: 25 min/day actual over 30 days, but only 6 min/day in the past week. That’s what happens when Beeminder isn’t biting… with a comfortable buffer, motivation alone doesn’t sustain the rate.

Actions:

  1. The key to improving Beebudget estimates is better correlating Toggle + Beeminder data. So I’m increasing my overall toggle-tracked hours goal.

  1. venture goal also gets a bump

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Time for another update!

I’ve reached the point where I’m hitting diminished returns with this approach. I’ve already spent 30 minutes of my [hobby-rest] time for improving [the process for] beebudget estimates today… so I’ll keep the update short.

  • gissue-refresh-wr-ph: Goes up by 20% after the akrasia horizon. (This is a goal I’ve not yet written about, I think. It stands for “gissue-refreshing related to popular philosophy essay writing”.)
  • gissue-refresh-ka-uv: Also goes up by 20% after the horizon. This is sort of a “UVI goal” related to venture theme.
  • venture got a… complex bump. Amounts to 10% bump at a year horizon.

I’m almost there with tying beebudget estimates back to “beeminder delta over the past d days / Toggl tracked minutes in the same period.”

Overall, my goal remains the same: reflect a gradual increase of ambition in some areas of my life in my beeminder dashboard. I’d say this is still going on track. Having the beebudget give me a clearer picture will coincide with a period in which I want to increase the ambition level.

Looking forward!

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